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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2024 at 5pm UK
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
2 - 3
Kayserispor

Turuc (58'), Gureler (89')
Atan (26'), Piatek (65'), Kemen (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nazon (9'), Karimi (15'), Boa Morte (84')
Karimi (25'), Nazon (67'), Ali Kaldirim (90+4'), Yilmaz (90+4'), Sazdagi (90+11')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-0 Istanbul
Saturday, February 10 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-0 Besiktas
Monday, February 12 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 1-1 Kayserispor

While Istanbul Basaksehir are carrying better form into this match, Kayserispor are still unbeaten under Burak Yilmaz and would have taken huge confidence from their performance against Besiktas last week. This looks like a very level contest on paper, and we feel there will be nothing to split these two at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawKayserispor
56.63% (0.133 0.13) 22.85% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07) 20.51% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.99% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (0.224 0.22)46.44% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (0.209 0.21)68.72% (-0.209 -0.21)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (0.12599999999999 0.13)16.18% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34% (0.228 0.23)45.66% (-0.227 -0.23)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22% (0.064999999999998 0.06)36.78% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (0.064 0.06)73.57% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 56.63%
    Kayserispor 20.51%
    Draw 22.85%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawKayserispor
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.99% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 56.63%
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.85%
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 20.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-0 Istanbul
Saturday, February 10 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Istanbulspor
Saturday, February 3 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Konyaspor 2-3 Istanbul
Sunday, January 28 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 0-1 Fenerbahce
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 1-1 Istanbul
Saturday, January 20 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 3-2 Alanyaspor
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-0 Besiktas
Monday, February 12 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Kayserispor
Saturday, February 3 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-1 Antalyaspor
Monday, January 29 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 2-0 Kayserispor
Thursday, January 25 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-1 Istanbulspor
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Kayserispor
Monday, January 15 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig


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