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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
2 - 0
Kayserispor

Yavru (10'), Kara (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-1 Samsunspor
Sunday, January 21 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-1 Istanbulspor
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Samsunspor 2-1 Kayserispor

While the visitors have enjoyed the much stronger first half to the season, it is the Samsunspor who come into the game with momentum, while Kayserispor are quickly dropping down the table, and we see their trajectories continuing with a home victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 61.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawKayserispor
61.77% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 21.17% (-0.012 -0.01) 17.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 52.24% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.66% (0.051000000000002 0.05)44.34% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29% (0.049999999999997 0.05)66.71% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.18% (0.024000000000001 0.02)13.82% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.84% (0.042000000000002 0.04)41.16% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.62% (0.027999999999999 0.03)39.38% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.92% (0.024000000000001 0.02)76.08% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 61.76%
    Kayserispor 17.06%
    Draw 21.16%
SamsunsporDrawKayserispor
1-0 @ 10.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 61.76%
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.16%
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 17.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-1 Samsunspor
Sunday, January 21 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 2-0 Sivasspor
Sunday, January 14 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-1 Samsunspor
Thursday, January 11 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 1-0 Karagumruk
Saturday, January 6 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 3-1 Samsunspor
Monday, December 25 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 1-1 Konyaspor
Thursday, December 21 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-1 Istanbulspor
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Kayserispor
Monday, January 15 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 4-1 Kayserispor
Wednesday, January 10 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-3 Sivasspor
Sunday, January 7 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Konyaspor 2-0 Kayserispor
Sunday, December 24 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 3-4 Fenerbahce
Wednesday, December 20 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig


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