Hoping to end the season in different form to how they started it, a victory will go a long way to securing Basaksehir's position in Europe. Kasimpasa will provide a stubborn test, but a Basaksehir victory remains the most likely outcome this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Kasimpasa	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
33.32%	25.12%	41.56%

Both teams to score 56.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.27%

46.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.01%

68.99%

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.11%

26.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.8%

62.21%

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.59%

22.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.07%

55.93%

Score Analysis

Kasimpasa 33.32%

Istanbul Basaksehir 41.56%

Draw 25.11%

Kasimpasa	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 7.92% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 5.2% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.32%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 9.01% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 6.74% 1-3 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.56%