SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Kasimpasa | 38 | 10 | 53 |
| 12 | Hatayspor | 38 | -4 | 53 |
| 13 | Galatasaray | 38 | -2 | 52 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trabzonspor | 38 | 33 | 81 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 38 | 35 | 73 |
| 3 | Konyaspor | 38 | 21 | 68 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-0 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Trabzonspor |
| 29.42% | 24.64% | 45.94% |
| Both teams to score 56.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.8% | 46.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.51% | 68.49% |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.82% | 29.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.88% | 65.12% |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.8% | 20.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.5% | 52.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Trabzonspor |
| 1-0 @ 7.26% 2-1 @ 7.15% 2-0 @ 4.47% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.42% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 9.43% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-2 @ 7.54% 1-3 @ 4.95% 0-3 @ 4.02% 2-3 @ 3.05% 1-4 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.94% |
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