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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 41
May 11, 2021 at 6.30pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium

Kasimpasa
3 - 1
Ankaragucu

Hadergjonaj (9' pen.), Koc (13'), Yildirim (90+5')
Hadergjonaj (42'), Kiese Thelin (59'), Sadiku (61'), Bistrovic (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Badji (85')
Badji (13'), Kitsiou (32'), Turan (81')
Coverage of the Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Ankaragucu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawAnkaragucu
48.68%25.18%26.14%
Both teams to score 52.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.46%50.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.54%72.46%
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22%20.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57%53.43%
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.07%33.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4%70.59%
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 48.67%
    Ankaragucu 26.14%
    Draw 25.17%
KasimpasaDrawAnkaragucu
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-0 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 48.67%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.05%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.62%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 26.14%

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