Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 35
May 20, 2023 at 2pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
We said: Kasimpasa 2-1 Istanbulspor
The goals have flowed in Istanbulspor's recent road fixtures, where 15 goals have been scored in three matches.
That should continue on Saturday, even if Kasimpasa are expected to run out victors as they seek a fourth home victory in six league games.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.
| Result |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Istanbulspor |
62.08% ( -0.02) | 20% ( 0.01) | 17.9% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.08% ( -0.04) |
| 62.51% ( -0.05) | 37.49% ( 0.05) |
| 40.28% ( -0.06) | 59.71% ( 0.06) |
| 88.39% ( -0.02) | 11.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.4% ( -0.05) | 36.59% ( 0.05) |
| 65.7% ( -0.02) | 34.29% ( 0.02) |
