SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Kasimpasa |
61.67% ( -0.21) | 20.23% ( 0.09) | 18.09% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.64% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.76% ( -0.22) | 38.24% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.48% ( -0.23) | 60.52% ( 0.23) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.05% ( -0.12) | 11.94% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.67% ( -0.26) | 37.32% ( 0.26) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% ( -0) | 34.54% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.74% ( -0) | 71.25% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.07% Total : 61.67% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.23% | 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 18.09% |
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