SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Istanbulspor |
69.53% ( 0.07) | 17.72% ( -0.03) | 12.75% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.26% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.46% ( 0.05) | 37.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.23% ( 0.05) | 59.77% ( -0.05) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.27% ( 0.03) | 9.73% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.6% ( 0.07) | 32.4% ( -0.07) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59% ( -0.04) | 40.99% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.45% ( -0.03) | 77.55% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Istanbulspor |
| 2-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.34% 5-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 4.07% Total : 69.52% | 1-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.72% | 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 12.75% |
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