Kayserispor are likely to keep a clean sheet on Friday, given their good record and run on home soil and Hatayspor's difficulties at finding the back of the net on their travels.
The hosts are unlikely to score a flurry of goals, but they will only need a single strike to collect three points with their strong defensive platform to build from.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.
