SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 33.46% | 25.92% | 40.62% |
| Both teams to score 54.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.79% | 50.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% | 72.16% |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% | 28.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.74% | 64.26% |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% | 24.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.17% | 58.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% 2-1 @ 7.73% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.46% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 6.92% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.62% |
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