Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 1-0 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.