Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Pendikspor had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Pendikspor win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sivasspor would win this match.
Result | ||
Sivasspor | Draw | Pendikspor |
46.49% ( -0.4) | 25.02% ( 0.23) | 28.49% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 54.64% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.61% ( -0.91) | 48.39% ( 0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.48% ( -0.83) | 70.52% ( 0.84) |
Sivasspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.15% ( -0.54) | 20.85% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.46% ( -0.86) | 53.54% ( 0.86) |
Pendikspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.03% ( -0.35) | 30.97% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.73% ( -0.41) | 67.27% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Sivasspor | Draw | Pendikspor |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.62% Total : 46.49% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.49% |
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