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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Yeni Sivas 4 Eylul Stadyumu

Sivasspor
2 - 2
Gaziantep

Manaj (8' pen., 15' pen.)
Kvet (18'), Manaj (37'), Kapacak (63')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Dragus (29'), Djilobodji (41')
Mbakata (6'), Jevtovic (44'), Dragus (48'), Maxim (69')
Maxim (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Samsunspor 2-0 Sivasspor
Sunday, January 14 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-1 Fenerbahce
Sunday, January 14 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Sivasspor 1-1 Gaziantep

Sivasspor boast a strong historical record in this fixture, but their home form this season has been a major worry, and this could prove to be their undoing on Sunday. Gaziantep, by contrast, have put in some decent performances on their travels recently, and they appear capable of snatching a point come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SivassporDrawGaziantep
62.13% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 21.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 16.06% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.07% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)48.82% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)70.92% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83%15.17% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.78% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.67% (-0.138 -0.14)43.34% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.43% (-0.116 -0.12)79.57% (0.12 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Sivasspor 62.12%
    Gaziantep 16.06%
    Draw 21.81%
SivassporDrawGaziantep
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 62.12%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 21.81%
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 16.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Samsunspor 2-0 Sivasspor
Sunday, January 14 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-1 Galatasaray
Thursday, January 11 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-3 Sivasspor
Sunday, January 7 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-0 Istanbulspor
Saturday, December 23 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 3-1 Sivasspor
Tuesday, December 19 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Konyaspor 0-1 Sivasspor
Monday, December 11 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-1 Fenerbahce
Sunday, January 14 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 0-0 Gaziantep
Wednesday, January 10 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 2-2 Pendikspor
Friday, January 5 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 0-3 Gaziantep
Saturday, December 23 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 2-2 Adana Demirspor
Tuesday, December 19 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-3 Trabzonspor
Sunday, December 10 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig


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