SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 10.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 1-2 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
73.11% ( 2.51) | 16.15% ( -1.18) | 10.74% ( -1.32) |
| Both teams to score 52.22% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.5% ( 2.01) | 35.51% ( -2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.45% ( 2.19) | 57.55% ( -2.18) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.61% ( 1.08) | 8.39% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.81% ( 2.6) | 29.19% ( -2.6) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.01% ( -0.92) | 42.99% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.72% ( -0.79) | 79.28% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 2-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.45)1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.45)3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.54)4-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.35)3-2 @ 3.26% 5-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.39)5-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.28)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.1)6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.21)5-2 @ 1% ( 0.09)6-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.82% Total : 73.1% | 1-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.58) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.37)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.15% | 1-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.33) 0-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.11% Total : 10.74% |
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