SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Kasimpasa |
48.91% ( 1.83) | 24.13% ( -0.02) | 26.96% ( -1.81) |
| Both teams to score 56.42% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.49% ( -1.15) | 45.5% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.16% ( -1.11) | 67.83% ( 1.11) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.3% ( 0.28) | 18.69% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.96% ( 0.47) | 50.04% ( -0.48) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% ( -1.92) | 30.61% ( 1.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.15% ( -2.33) | 66.85% ( 2.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.32% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.18)Other @ 3% Total : 26.96% |
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