Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 16.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
Result | ||
Trabzonspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
63.05% ( -0.09) | 20.29% ( 0.08) | 16.66% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.36% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.9% ( -0.35) | 41.1% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.5% ( -0.36) | 63.5% ( 0.36) |
Trabzonspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.57% ( -0.13) | 12.43% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.65% ( -0.28) | 38.35% ( 0.28) |
Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.08% ( -0.2) | 37.92% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.31% ( -0.2) | 74.68% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Trabzonspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 7.12% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.56% Total : 63.04% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 16.66% |
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