Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 66.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for an Ankaragucu win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
Result | ||
Trabzonspor | Draw | Ankaragucu |
66.6% ( 0.24) | 18.38% ( -0.12) | 15.02% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.41% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.7% ( 0.35) | 35.3% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.67% ( 0.38) | 57.32% ( -0.39) |
Trabzonspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.17% ( 0.15) | 9.83% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.37% ( 0.35) | 32.63% ( -0.36) |
Ankaragucu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.66% ( 0.07) | 36.33% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.88% ( 0.07) | 73.12% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Trabzonspor | Draw | Ankaragucu |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.28% Total : 66.6% | 1-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.38% | 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 15.02% |
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