Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu
We said: Hatayspor 1-2 Ankaragucu
Although Pulat's side drew their last league game and ended a run of four successive losses, Hatayspor's recent form is still poor.
Ankaragucu's away record is far from perfect, but they will likely be buoyed by the fact that victory at the Mersin Stadium would make them strong favourites for survival with just two games remaining.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
| Result |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Ankaragucu |
39.16% ( 0.05) | 25.77% ( 0.01) | 35.06% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.86% ( -0.06) |
| 50.69% ( -0.07) | 49.3% ( 0.06) |
| 28.64% ( -0.06) | 71.35% ( 0.06) |
| 75.23% ( -0) | 24.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.67% ( -0) | 59.33% ( 0) |
| 72.92% ( -0.08) | 27.07% ( 0.07) |
