Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
