Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sivasspor in this match.