Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Lugano win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.