Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neuchatel Xamax win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neuchatel Xamax win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Lugano win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.