Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.