SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
49.5% ( -0.79) | 23.86% ( 0.41) | 26.63% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 57.02% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.42% ( -1.52) | 44.58% ( 1.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.05% ( -1.49) | 66.95% ( 1.49) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.9% ( -0.88) | 18.1% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.96% ( -1.52) | 49.04% ( 1.52) |
| Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% ( -0.51) | 30.38% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.43% ( -0.61) | 66.57% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.35)2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.55% Total : 49.5% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.04% Total : 26.63% |
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