SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Luzern |
| 45.8% | 23.69% ( -0.01) | 30.51% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.48% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.72% ( 0.04) | 41.28% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.33% ( 0.04) | 63.67% ( -0.04) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( 0.01) | 18.28% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.65% ( 0.03) | 49.35% ( -0.03) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.01% ( 0.02) | 25.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.99% ( 0.03) | 61% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.86% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 45.8% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.51% |
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