Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 55.99%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.06%) and 0-1 (8%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.