Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a CSKA Sofia win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.