Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Young Boys in this match.