Basel
4 - 4
Lugano

Ademi (7', 67'), Frei (10'), Arthur (90+4')
Comert (38'), Alderete (52'), Frei (70'), Campo (76'), Xhaka (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Lovric (6'), Nascimento (41'), Kecskes (45+1'), Lungoyi (79')
Guidotti (18'), Lungoyi (56'), Sabbatini (80'), Baumann (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 17.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Lugano win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Basel	Draw	Lugano
60.39%	21.64%	17.96%

Both teams to score 52.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.12%

44.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.76%

67.23%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.58%

14.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.66%

42.34%

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.37%

38.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.62%

75.37%

Score Analysis

Basel 60.38%

Lugano 17.96%

Draw 21.63%

Basel	Draw	Lugano
1-0 @ 10.78% 2-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.75% 3-1 @ 6.42% 4-0 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.27% 5-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.7% Total : 60.38%	1-1 @ 10.25% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.63%	0-1 @ 5.3% 1-2 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.23% Total : 17.96%