Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sion win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Luzern win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sion would win this match.