Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 10.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Lugano win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.