Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 77.37%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Thun had a probability of 8.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.26%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a Thun win it was 0-1 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.