Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 74%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 11.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 3-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.22%), while for a Yverdon Sport win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
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