SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 49.67%. A win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Yverdon Sport win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yverdon Sport | Draw | Lugano |
28% ( -0.02) | 22.33% ( -0.01) | 49.67% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.66% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.66% ( 0.01) | 36.33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.53% ( 0.01) | 58.46% ( -0.01) |
| Yverdon Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.87% ( -0.01) | 25.12% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.17% ( -0.01) | 59.83% ( 0.01) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.03% ( 0.01) | 14.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.6% ( 0.02) | 43.4% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yverdon Sport | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.59% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 28% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.1% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.82% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.95% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 4.18% Total : 49.67% |
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