SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 68.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 14.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.62%), while for a Yverdon Sport win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Yverdon Sport |
68.12% ( -0.17) | 17.33% ( 0.27) | 14.55% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 60.27% ( -1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.87% ( -1.62) | 31.13% ( 1.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.46% ( -1.94) | 52.54% ( 1.94) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.62% ( -0.45) | 8.38% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.85% ( -1.13) | 29.15% ( 1.13) |
| Yverdon Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( -1.22) | 34.22% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.08% ( -1.32) | 70.91% ( 1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Yverdon Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.48)4-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.11)6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.08)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.73% Total : 68.12% | 1-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.28% Total : 17.33% | 1-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.47% Total : 14.55% |
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