SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Yverdon Sport win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yverdon Sport | Draw | FC Winterthur |
34.67% ( 0.06) | 25.77% ( 0.1) | 39.56% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.8% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.64% ( -0.45) | 49.35% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.59% ( -0.41) | 71.4% ( 0.41) |
| Yverdon Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% ( -0.18) | 27.33% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.21% ( -0.23) | 62.78% ( 0.23) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( -0.29) | 24.58% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.92% ( -0.41) | 59.07% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yverdon Sport | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.67% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.56% |
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