SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 2-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Luzern |
20.37% ( -0) | 21.43% ( -0) | 58.18% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.53% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.69% ( 0.01) | 40.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.32% ( 0.01) | 62.67% ( -0.01) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.59% ( 0) | 33.4% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.96% ( 0) | 70.03% ( -0) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.39% ( 0) | 13.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.26% ( 0.01) | 40.73% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 5.45% 1-0 @ 4.98% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.73% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0)3-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.24% Total : 20.37% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.44% 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.43% | 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.04% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.59% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.29% ( 0)0-4 @ 3% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.8% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.31% 0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 58.18% |
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