Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Yverdon Sport win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
-0.16) 
0.05) 
