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Taca da Liga | Quarter-Finals
Jul 24, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
FL

Chaves
1 - 2
Farense

Pedro Araujo Correia (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedro (54'), Mancha (88')
Isidoro (32'), Abner (51'), (64')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Quarter-Finals clash between Chaves and SC Farense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawSC Farense
33.03%26.04%40.93%
Both teams to score 53.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.17%50.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28%72.71%
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92%29.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.01%64.99%
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47%24.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41%59%
Score Analysis
    Chaves 33.03%
    SC Farense 40.93%
    Draw 26.04%
ChavesDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 8.81%
2-1 @ 7.65%
2-0 @ 5.44%
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 33.03%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.13%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 10.02%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 7.04%
1-3 @ 4.08%
0-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.93%

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