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FL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 15, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio de São Luís
T

Farense
1 - 0
Tondela

Gauld (79' pen.)
Queta (64'), Abner (90+7'), Beto (90+9'), Nogueira (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Olabe (66'), Agra (77')
Agra (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SC Farense in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawTondela
42.32%27.92%29.76%
Both teams to score 46.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.96%59.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.5%79.49%
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43%27.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91%63.08%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39%35.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63%72.37%
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 42.31%
    Tondela 29.76%
    Draw 27.92%
SC FarenseDrawTondela
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-1 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 8.15%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 42.31%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.81%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 29.76%

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