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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 10, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
FL

Porto
5 - 1
Farense

Taremi (6' pen., 59'), Martinez (14'), Diaz (20'), Mario Neto Lopes (84')
Mbemba (13'), Grujic (25'), Leite (72'), Mario Neto Lopes (81')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Lica (89')
Scheid (1'), Tavares (6'), Lucca (6'), Cesar (82')
Aouacheria (30')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawSC Farense
65.77%20.99%13.24%
Both teams to score 43.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.17%50.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28%72.71%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33%14.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.18%42.82%
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.38%48.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.32%83.68%
Score Analysis
    Porto 65.76%
    SC Farense 13.24%
    Draw 20.99%
PortoDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 13.69%
2-0 @ 13.13%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 8.41%
3-1 @ 6.06%
4-0 @ 4.04%
4-1 @ 2.91%
3-2 @ 2.19%
5-0 @ 1.55%
5-1 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 65.76%
1-1 @ 9.87%
0-0 @ 7.13%
2-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 20.99%
0-1 @ 5.14%
1-2 @ 3.56%
0-2 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 13.24%

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