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Taca da Liga | Quarter-Finals
Jul 24, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Mafra
B

Mafra
1 - 0
Belenenses

Miguel Pinto Lopes (23')
Miguel Ferreira Santos (18'), Henrique Barcelos Silva (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ndour (27'), Boni (28'), Sithole (71'), Phete (75')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Quarter-Finals clash between Mafra and Belenenses.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Mafra had a probability of 23.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Mafra win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
MafraDrawBelenenses
23.63%26.25%50.12%
Both teams to score 46.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.45%56.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.46%77.53%
Mafra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.56%39.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.87%76.13%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.36%22.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.74%56.26%
Score Analysis
    Mafra 23.63%
    Belenenses 50.12%
    Draw 26.25%
MafraDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 8.31%
2-1 @ 5.74%
2-0 @ 3.86%
3-1 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.32%
3-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 23.63%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 13.26%
0-2 @ 9.85%
1-2 @ 9.17%
0-3 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 4.54%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-4 @ 1.81%
1-4 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 50.12%

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