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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Mata Real
B

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 0
Belenenses

Pedro (85' pen.)
Costa (11'), Carlos (76'), Fonseca (90+2')
Ferreira (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Henrique (86'), Sithole (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pacos de Ferreira in this match.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawBelenenses
41.08%28.53%30.39%
Both teams to score 45.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.07%60.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.06%80.94%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84%29.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91%65.09%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85%36.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07%72.92%
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 41.07%
    Belenenses 30.39%
    Draw 28.51%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 12.98%
2-1 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 3.35%
3-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 1.7%
4-1 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 41.07%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 4.15%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.51%
0-1 @ 10.72%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 5.46%
1-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 30.39%

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