Santos (30'), Jorge Tito dos Santos (87'), Manuel Pereira da Silva (90+3' pen.) Batista Santos (33'), Daniel Abreu Vilela (35'), Manuel Pereira da Silva (43'), Jorge Tito dos Santos (77')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Second Round clash between Sporting Covilha and Mafra.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mafra win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mafra win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Sporting Covilha win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
