Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedro de Jesus Kitenga (45'), Monteiro Cuco (46')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Alverca and Pero Pinheiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alverca win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Pero Pinheiro had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alverca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Pero Pinheiro win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alverca would win this match.
| Result |
| Alverca | Draw | Pero Pinheiro |
58.02% ( -0.02) | 24.39% ( 0.02) | 17.59% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.73% ( -0.05) |
| 43.72% ( -0.07) | 56.28% ( 0.07) |
| 22.68% ( -0.06) | 77.32% ( 0.06) |
| 80.72% ( -0.03) | 19.28% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.98% ( -0.06) | 51.02% ( 0.06) |
| 54.18% ( -0.04) | 45.82% ( 0.04) |
