Rafael da Costa Antunes (18'), Joao Marques Santos Batalha (36'), Miguel Pereira Duque (53'), Bettencourt de Oliveira Correia (62') Bettencourt de Oliveira Correia (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moreira (57', 75', 82'), Svensson Rio (84', 90+1' pen.) Pedro Goulart Silva (13'), Benaissa-Yahia (30'), Cassiano (49')
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Amora had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Amora win was 1-0 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.05) 
