SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Casa Pia |
51.8% ( -0.18) | 24.46% ( 0.1) | 23.74% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.39% ( -0.31) | 49.61% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( -0.28) | 71.63% ( 0.28) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.86% ( -0.19) | 19.13% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.23% ( -0.32) | 50.77% ( 0.32) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.52% ( -0.09) | 35.48% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.75% ( -0.1) | 72.25% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.28% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 51.79% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.74% |
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