Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Atletico Clube de Portugal had a probability of 16.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Atletico Clube de Portugal win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.