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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
V

Estoril
2 - 2
Vizela

Guitane (53'), Vital (67')
Vital (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Essende (62'), Saint-Louis (90+11')
Lacava (37'), Saint-Louis (90+11')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 5-3 Estoril
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, September 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-2 Vizela

Both teams have found wins hard to come by in the opening stages of the new season, and with the two sides separated by just one point, we think that a close-fought contest could result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawVizela
42.66% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.49% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 30.85% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.32% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.69% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)53.31% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15% (-0.064 -0.06)74.85% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)24.75% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68% (-0.055 -0.05)59.31% (0.055 0.05)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.21% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)31.79% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)68.23% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 42.65%
    Vizela 30.85%
    Draw 26.49%
Estoril PraiaDrawVizela
1-0 @ 10.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 42.65%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.87% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.02% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gil Vicente 5-3 Estoril
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Boavista
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Estoril
Friday, August 25 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, August 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 4-3 Estoril
Sunday, August 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 5-1 CF Os Belenenses
Saturday, July 29 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, September 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-0 Gil Vicente
Friday, September 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-0 Vizela
Sunday, August 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-2 Arouca
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Vizela
Saturday, August 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 1-0 Vizela
Friday, July 28 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga


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