SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ukraine Under-19s | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | France Under-19s | 3 | 9 | 6 |
| 3 | England Under-19s | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey Under-19s | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy Under-19s | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal Under-19s | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Norway Under-19s | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Finland Under-19s | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-19s win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Under-19s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for England Under-19s in this match.
| Result | ||
| England Under-19s | Draw | Italy Under-19s |
50.52% ( -0.01) | 22.53% ( -0.01) | 26.95% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.97% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.83% ( 0.03) | 38.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.55% ( 0.03) | 60.44% ( -0.04) |
| England Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.65% ( 0.01) | 15.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.89% ( 0.01) | 44.11% ( -0.02) |
| Italy Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% ( 0.02) | 26.8% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.91% ( 0.03) | 62.08% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| England Under-19s | Draw | Italy Under-19s |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.94% 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 3.93% Total : 50.52% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.95% |
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